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Foreign: Hongkong economic and be on the upgrade must pay attention to the negative risk
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Hongkong on 14 May, and foreign securities companies in Lehman brothers named
(Lehman Brothers) said, Hongkong economy to be on the upgrade, but easily affected by some negative factors, highlighted the importance of risk management, due to HK $at the United States,[url=http://www.icommutesd.com/louboutin.html]louboutin pas cher[/url], future Shengxi action,[url=http://www.bessis.com/monclerpascher.html]doudoune moncler pas cher[/url], will affect Hongkong, Hongkong and the mainland of China and economic dependence close,[url=http://www.huilemielolives.fr/doudounemoncler.asp]doudoune moncler[/url], China the mainland economy has been showing signs of overheating, Hongkong may face the mainland economic hard landing impact.
Lehman estimation, Hongkong in the first quarter of this year economic growth than the same period last year rose 7%, export growth,[url=http://www.shaaciye.com/mercurialvaopor.asp]mercurial vapor[/url], retail, number of passengers arrived,[url=http://www.sietenotas.com/peuterey.html]peuterey outlet[/url], salary and the money supply has improved, the first quarter the economy began to power, such as the April purchasing managers index rose to 54.9, the highest since the 25 month high.
the Central News Agency quoted Lehman brothers said, Hong Kong dollar peg to the US dollar is good for Hongkong, with the depreciation of the dollar on many major currencies, so far this year, the trade weighted dollar exchange rate fell 2.5%,[url=http://www.bessis.com/hollisterfr.html]hollister france[/url], enhance the economic competitiveness of Hongkong, even though the market is generally expected the United States the Federal Reserve will suspend Shengxi, but Lehman said, not be suspended means the United States of America the Fed has completed the Shengxi, the future, the United States of America pranayama action will depend on the economic data, the United States is expected this year will further increase interest rates by 75 basis points, and the Hong Kong dollar pegged to the dollar, Hongkong is more likely to be affected by the United States of America continue to Shengxi,[url=http://www.futuricampioni.it/scarpehogan.html]hogan[/url], become the risk of economic development.
in the mainland economic interdependence, Hongkong to the mainland of Hongkong entrepot trade accounted for 94% of the total exports,[url=http://www.tuning-italia.it/woolrichoutlet.asp]woolrich[/url], is one of the main window mainland rapid development of commodity trade, Lehman brothers said, Hongkong as China's service center in the financial, insurance, legal,[url=http://www.asauk.co.uk/barbourjackets.html]barbour jackets[/url], accounting, marketing, consulting and tourism play an important role, service industry accounted for 94% of Hongkong's economy, and with the mainland related to the rapid development of the business, is the main reason for the Hongkong labour market improvement.
but many mainland industry over investment,[url=http://www.tuning-italia.it/woolrichoutlet.asp]woolrich outlet[/url], Lehman pointed out, the mainland policymakers to avoid excessive supply, eventually lead to a hard landing for the economy, so the mainland people's Bank recently raised interest rates, the Lehman brothers also for China's GDP growth in the next five years down to 5% or even less probability, up from 20% to 25%, if the risk is the mainland economy hard road, Hongkong is also vulnerable.
Hongkong's unemployment rate fell from the middle of 2003, 8.6% Peak Road, in March reached 5.2%,[url=http://www.cyfac.fr/airjordans.html]air jordan[/url], strong growth in household income support consumption growth, at the same time, the implementation of the qualified domestic institutional investor program will facilitate the development of capital market in Hongkong, the mainland now mostly >相关的主题文章：

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